Canon 14%Inference 30%Speculation 16%Real-world science 40%

The Breathing Fans

Why Pandoran animals breathe through their flanks, not their faces - and what comparative anatomy teaches about a problem every living thing must solve

A banshee powers straight up into the sky, its flight muscles burning - and the air does not go in through its nose. It goes in through slots along its flanks. The films never explain the puzzle, but a branch of Earth biology spent a century learning exactly how life breathes, and the answer is sitting there in plain sight.

bardabez25 min read
01Canon
A banshee in a power climb, working harder than almost any animal ever has to work. Watch where the air goes in. Not the nose, set far forward on the head — but the slotted fans flared open along its flanks, swallowing the oncoming wind.

Watch a mountain banshee climb. It tips onto its tail and claws its way straight up a column of air, wings hammering, the whole machine of it burning fuel at a rate that would kill almost anything its size on Earth. A climbing animal needs oxygen the way a fire needs a draught — fast, and in volume, and without pause. So look at where the banshee takes its breath. Not through the nostrils on its head, the way you or I or a horse would. The air pours in through a pair of slotted fans along its sides, opened wide to the wind, somewhere back behind the shoulders where you would least expect a mouth of any kind.

Every large animal on Pandora carries these slots. The thanator running down prey through the understorey has them low on its flanks. The direhorse has them at the base of its neck. The sturmbeest, the viperwolf, the great leonopteryx — flank-slits, all of them, opening and closing as the animal works. The Avatar films do not dwell on this, and they certainly never explain it, but it is one of the most consistent facts about Pandoran life: the animals do not breathe through their faces. They breathe through their sides. And the one creature on the whole moon that does breathe through its face — through a nose, like ours — is the Na'vi, who are also the one creature that broke the six-limbed body plan everything else is built on. The cleverest lineage on Pandora breaks the planet's rules twice over: once in its limbs, and once in its lungs.

These flank organs have a name in the field guides — the , the breathing fan. And here is the honest situation, stated plainly, because this whole chapter depends on being honest about it. Canon tells us that the breathing fans exist, and roughly where they sit, and that the Na'vi lack them. Canon does not tell us how they work. There is no scene, no companion-book diagram, no line of dialogue that explains what happens to a lungful of Pandoran air once it passes through one of those slots. That gap is not a problem to be papered over. It is the invitation. Because while no one can tell us how a banshee breathes from the films, Earth biology spent the last century and a half learning, in ferocious detail, every way that a living body can breathe — and that knowledge lets us walk up to an alien organ we have never seen working and reason, carefully, about what it must be doing.

What the films actually show, and what they don't

Let me be precise about the line between knowing and guessing, because the rest of the chapter lives on that line. What we are given is a short list. The breathing fans are real and they are nearly universal among the large land animals. They sit on the flanks or the lower neck, not the head. The Na'vi do not have them and breathe instead through nose and mouth. And the air around all of this is, to a human, poison — thick with carbon dioxide, laced with hydrogen sulfide, denser than Earth's atmosphere, which is why every human who steps outside wears a mask. Those are the load-bearing facts, and they come straight from the films and their official material.

Everything else you might read about Pandoran respiration — that the fans are ram-scoops, that the air runs one way through the body and out a second set of slots at the back, that the lungs contain some organ that converts carbon dioxide into oxygen — is not in that canonical list. Some of it is reasonable inference; some of it is fan speculation that has hardened, through repetition, into the appearance of fact. I will use the good inferences in this chapter, because they are genuinely the most physically sensible reading of the evidence, but I will flag them as inference every time, and I will leave the wilder claims where they belong, in the margin. The discipline of saying we know this much and no more is not a weakness here. It is the entire method. A biologist who cannot tell the specimen from the story will misread both.

So we have an organ, a location, an absence, and a hostile sky. To turn that into understanding, we need the one rule that governs how every breathing thing that has ever lived takes in its air — a rule so universal that it lets us judge an alien lung by the same standard as a trout's gill.

One cruel equation

Here is the rule, and it is almost insultingly simple. A gas moves across a living membrane at a rate set by three things: how much surface there is for it to cross, how steep the difference in pressure is on the two sides, and how thin the membrane is. More surface, faster. Steeper difference, faster. Thinner wall, faster. That is the whole of it. The relationship has a name — — and it is not a biological law at all but a physical one, as true on Pandora as in a Munich laboratory, as true for a bacterium as for a banshee. Life did not invent it and cannot escape it. Life can only obey it cleverly.

Sit with what that demands, because it is the hidden hand behind every respiratory organ in this chapter. If a gas crosses faster when the surface is bigger, then any animal serious about breathing must find a way to pack an enormous area of exchange surface into a small body — and so lungs and gills are not simple bags but fantastically folded, branched, frilled things, all reaching for more area in less space. A human lung, unfolded, would carpet a good part of a tennis court, and it does this inside your chest. If a gas crosses faster when the wall is thinner, then the barrier between air and blood is shaved down to almost nothing — in your own lungs it is a fraction of the width of a single sheet of tissue paper, thin enough that the blood and the air are practically touching. And if a gas crosses faster when the pressure difference is steeper, then the body must keep fresh supply arriving on one side and keep hauling the gas away on the other, so the gap never has a chance to close.

02Real-world science
The only rule that matters. Gas crosses a living membrane faster when the surface is larger, the wall is thinner, and the difference between the two sides is steeper. Every lung and gill ever evolved is a different answer to this single equation.

That last requirement — keep the difference steep — is the one that does the most work, and the one most worth holding onto. The amount of a gas in a mixture is measured by its , the share of the total push that one kind of molecule contributes. Oxygen flows from where its partial pressure is high to where it is low, always, down the slope, the way water runs downhill. The instant the two sides of a membrane reach the same partial pressure, the flow stops dead — not slows, stops — because there is no longer any slope for it to run down. An animal that lets its breathing surface come into balance with the air against it has, in that moment, stopped breathing. So the deepest problem in respiration is not really getting oxygen to the surface. It is refusing, by every trick available, to ever let the two sides equalise. Keep the slope alive and the oxygen keeps coming. Lose the slope and you suffocate against a lungful of perfectly good air.

There is a second consequence, quieter but just as strict, and it is about size. A small thing has a great deal of surface for its volume, and the smallest animals — a flatworm, a larva — need no breathing organ at all; oxygen simply soaks in through the skin and has so little body to supply that diffusion alone keeps up. But surface grows as the square of an animal's length while volume grows as the cube, so as a body gets larger its skin falls hopelessly behind its bulk. A creature the size of a thanator has a mountain of oxygen-hungry tissue and comparatively little skin to feed it through. It cannot soak. It must pump, through a dedicated organ with that vast folded surface and that razor-thin wall and that carefully defended pressure slope. Every large animal, on any world, is forced by simple geometry into the same predicament — and into one of a small number of solutions. The marvel is that Earth, given four billion years, found all of them. So before we read Pandora's answer, we should learn Earth's, because the menu turns out to be short, and Pandora's fans are written in its grammar.

Earth's menu of answers

Start in the water, because water is the hard case and it produced the most elegant trick. A fish has it worse than any land animal: water holds perhaps a thirtieth of the oxygen that air does, and it is hundreds of times heavier and stickier to move. A trout that breathed as sloppily as we do would starve in a river. And yet fish thrive, because the gill is a small masterpiece. Water is driven over rows of fine, blood-filled fronds — the — and the blood inside them runs in the opposite direction to the water outside. That detail is the whole game. It is called , and it is the cleverest answer anything ever found to Fick's demand that the pressure slope must never close.

To see why it matters, picture the wrong way first. If the water and the blood flowed the same direction, side by side, they would do what two bodies in contact always do: rush toward balance. The blood would gulp oxygen from the water, the water would give it up, and very quickly the two would meet in the middle at some shared, mediocre level — and there, with the slope gone, exchange would stop. The blood leaves half-fed, the water leaves half-emptied, and a great deal of oxygen simply floats on past, untaken. Now reverse the blood. As it flows along, it always meets water that is fresher than itself, because that water has not yet given anything to the blood downstream. At every point along the frond, the water still holds a little more oxygen than the blood beside it — a small slope, but a slope, maintained from one end to the other. The blood keeps taking on oxygen the entire length of the journey instead of stalling at the halfway mark. A countercurrent gill can strip eighty or ninety percent of the oxygen out of the water it handles. A same-direction gill would be lucky to take half.

Gill lamella: flip the blood

WaterBlood Oxygen gradient along the frond
Oxygen extracted
88%
Opposed: the blood always meets water fresher than itself, so the slope holds the whole length of the frond — oxygen is taken right to the end.
Flip the blood and watch the numbers move. When water and blood run the same way they rush to a shared middling level and exchange dies at the halfway mark. Run them in opposition and the blood always faces fresher water — a small slope kept alive end to end — and extraction climbs from about half to nearly all. The same membrane, the same water; only the direction changed.
03Real-world science
Countercurrent exchange, the water-breather's masterpiece. Blood flows against the water, so it always meets a stream slightly richer than itself, and the pressure slope never closes along the whole frond. This single trick is why a fish can take most of the oxygen from water that barely holds any.

Now come onto land and up into the air, where the demands are highest of all, because flight is the most oxygen-hungry thing a body can do. The animal that solved it best is the bird, and the bird's lung is so unlike ours that it is worth meeting properly — because it, not the mammal lung, is the design that Pandora's banshees will turn out to echo. Our lungs work by : a blind sac that fills and empties through the same door, air rushing in, going still, reversing, rushing out. A bird does something far stranger. It pushes air one way only, in a continuous loop, through a stack of fine tubes that never empty and never reverse. Behind the rigid little lung sit a series of balloon-like air sacs that work the bellows, and over two full breaths a single mouthful of air is walked all the way through the system in one direction — in through the back, forward across the exchange surface, and out the front — so that the working tissue is bathed in fresh air on the in-breath and the out-breath both. There is never a stale lungful sitting in the way. There is never a pause.

This is , and it buys the bird a stunning margin. The exchange surface meets moving, fresh, oxygen-rich air at every instant, the pressure slope held permanently open — Fick's law satisfied as completely as a lung can satisfy it. It is why a bar-headed goose can cross the roof of the Himalaya, beating its wings through air so thin it would drop a running mammal into a faint, and do it on purpose, twice a year. The exact geometry of exchange inside those tubes is its own subtlety — the blood crosses the air stream at an angle rather than head-on, a compromise called that is not quite as perfect as the fish's countercurrent but is more than good enough to leave every mammal gasping in the bird's wake. What matters for us is the headline: one-way flow beats back-and-forth flow, decisively, whenever the oxygen demand runs high.

04Real-world science
The bird's loop. Air sacs at front and back work as bellows that drive air one way through the lung's fine tubes, so the exchange surface always meets fresh air — on the in-breath and the out-breath alike. No stale lungful, no pause. This is the high-performance answer, and the one Pandora's flyers seem to have found too.

For completeness, two more entries on the menu, because they mark its edges. Our own mammalian lung — the tidal sac — is the comfortable, mediocre middle of the range: simple to build, easy to run, but cursed with a slug of stale air it can never fully expel and a column of — unused air sitting in the windpipe — with every breath, both of which drag its efficiency down. It is the design of an animal that can afford to be a little wasteful with its air. And at the far small end sits the insect's solution, which abandons blood entirely: a network of tiny pipes, the tracheae, opening to the outside through valved pores called along the body, piping air directly to the tissues. It is wonderfully efficient at beetle scale — and it carries a built-in ceiling, because passive diffusion down a tube fades fast with distance, so the pipes cannot reach the core of a large body. The only era that ever grew giant insects, the dragonflies with the wingspan of a hawk, was a stretch of deep time when the air itself held half again as much oxygen as it does now and could force its way deeper down those pipes. Drop the oxygen and the giants become impossible. Size, again, bending the knee to Fick.

The trick that keeps getting reinvented

For a long time the bird's one-way lung was treated as a marvel unique to birds — a bespoke piece of engineering evolved for the brutal cost of flight, found nowhere else. That story turned out to be wrong, and the way it fell apart is the most important idea in this chapter, so it is worth telling properly.

In 2010 a physiologist named Colleen Farmer put flow meters into the lungs of alligators and watched, to general astonishment, the air run one way — looping through the lung in a single direction, just as it does in a bird, even though an alligator has no air sacs, does not fly, and parted ways with birds' ancestors something like a quarter of a billion years ago. Then the same one-way flow turned up in monitor lizards. Then in green iguanas. None of these animals has the bird's bellows-and-balloon apparatus. They achieve the one-way loop a cheaper way — by the shape of the airways themselves, branches set at angles so sharp that the moving air is steered past some openings and into others, the way a river runs past the mouth of a slow backwater. No muscle directs it. The plumbing does. Aerodynamic valving, it is called, and it means a flow-through lung does not even require the bird's elaborate hardware. It can fall out of the geometry of the tubes alone.

What that scatter of discoveries means is large. One-way airflow is not a bird's invention; it is far older, sitting in the common ancestry of birds and crocodiles and lizards alike, and it very probably helped that whole lineage survive an age — the great dying at the end of the Permian — when the world's oxygen crashed and a more efficient lung was the difference between living and not. The same answer, appearing again and again across animals that are not closely related, is the signature of : not a trait handed down from a shared parent, but the same good solution discovered independently, over and over, because the physics underneath leaves so few good options. When a problem has only a handful of right answers, life keeps walking into them. Flight keeps producing wings. Fast swimming keeps producing the same torpedo shape. And high-demand breathing keeps producing one-way flow — in the sky, in the swamp, on the rocks, wherever an animal needs to wring the most from every breath.

07Real-world science
One flow pattern, three very different bodies. Birds use air sacs to keep gas moving through the lung, while alligators and monitor lizards steer it with airway geometry alone. Flight did not own this solution: one-way flow also works in a swamp and on hot rock, wherever lungs must keep fresh air crossing the exchange surface.

Hold that thought, because it is the bridge to Pandora. If one-way airflow is the answer Earth keeps re-deriving whenever oxygen demand runs high, then we should not be the least bit surprised to find it derived again on another world — and we have the tools, now, to recognise it when we see it.

Reading the operculum

So return to the banshee, climbing, and put the question properly. Here is an animal with a colossal oxygen demand, living in air that is denser than Earth's, breathing through paired slots set forward on its flanks rather than through its face. What is the most physically sensible thing those slots could be? Let me be clear that what follows is inference — careful inference, built on the Earth physics we have just laid out, but inference all the same, because the films never say. I will mark the move as we make it.

Begin with the dense air, because it changes the arithmetic in a way that points hard in one direction. Pandora's atmosphere is thick — heavy with carbon dioxide and a slug of heavy gases that make every litre of it weigh more than a litre of Earth air. Thick air is a gift to a flyer's wings, which is part of why Pandora grows aviators the size of small aircraft. But thick air is a curse to a tidal lung, because sloshing a heavy mass of gas in and then back out through the same passage, over and over, means hauling all that weight to a stop and reversing it on every single breath, and the heavier the air the more the reversal costs. The one breathing design that escapes the reversal entirely is the one-way loop, where the air never stops and never turns around — it streams through in a single direction and is gone. In dense air the advantage of one-way flow over tidal flow does not merely persist; it widens. The physics is practically shoving Pandoran life toward the bird's solution.

Now add the placement of the slots — forward-facing, on the flanks — and a second piece falls into place. An opening that faces into the oncoming wind is an opening that can let the animal's own speed do the pumping. As the banshee drives forward, the rushing air is rammed into the forward slots under its own pressure, through the lung, and out a second set of vents toward the rear — a current driven not by tiring muscle but by motion itself, free. We have a name for this on Earth, too: the fastest sharks breathe exactly this way, swimming with mouths cracked open so the sea is forced over their gills by their own velocity. It is called , and it is what turns the banshee's flank-fans from mere holes into intakes. The reading that emerges — and I want to name it plainly as the chapter's central inference — is that the operculum is most likely a paired ram-air intake feeding a one-way, flow-through lung, vented at the back: the bird-and-alligator trick, scaled up to giant size and made passive by harnessing the dense air and the animal's own motion. At rest, the fans can pump gently like a bellows; at speed, the animal simply opens them to the wind and lets physics breathe for it.

Two ways to breathe, one problem

Exchange surfacealways fresh
Cost to reversenone

Ram-ventilation: ON at speed

One-way: air streams a single direction across an always-fresh surface, never pausing, never reversing. Forward-facing intakes let the animal's own speed do the pumping — almost free.
The difference the banshee's body exploits. In tidal mode the air rushes in and back out the same door, leaving a pocket of stale air that never clears and forcing the animal to stop and reverse a heavy mass of gas on every breath. In one-way mode the air streams through in a single direction across an always-fresh surface, never pausing, never reversing. In Pandora's dense air the second design wins by a wide margin — and forward-facing flank intakes let the animal's own speed do the pumping for free.
05Inference
Two ways to breathe, side by side. Tidal: in and out the same door, a stale pocket left behind, the heavy air stopped and reversed every breath. One-way: a single clean current across an always-fresh surface. The contrast is the whole argument for what the breathing fans most likely are.
06Speculation
The best reading of the breathing fan, drawn out. Air rammed in through forward flank intakes, run one way through the lung, threaded through the hollow carbon-laced bones to carry off the furnace heat of flight, and vented aft. Every internal circuit here is inference — but it is inference built from Earth's own rulebook, the most sensible shape the evidence allows.

There is even a bonus the reading throws off for free, and it ties back to something canon does give us. Pandora's big animals have bones laced with carbon fibre — light, strong, and, in the flyers, hollow. A one-way airstream running through the body has somewhere convenient to go: through those hollow bones, which would make them a radiator, carrying off the furnace heat that powered flight generates before it cooks the animal from the inside. Birds, again, do something very like this. The same airstream that feeds the muscles can cool them. One mechanism, two jobs — exactly the kind of economy that evolution stumbles into when physics lays the parts close together.

But is the reading actually load-bearing? It is one thing to say one-way flow is more elegant; it is another to show that Pandora's animals could not exist without it. So put the two scaling laws we have already met beside each other and see what they do to a large body. An animal's oxygen demand does not rise in step with its mass — it rises a little more slowly, roughly as mass to the three-quarter power, which is why a big animal burns less per kilogram than a small one. That sounds like good news for giants until you look at the other side of the ledger. A breathing surface that merely grew along with the body would rise as mass to the two-thirds power, because that is what surfaces do while volumes cube. Two-thirds is smaller than three-quarters. The gap is not large, but it is relentless, and it means that for a body built on the geometric default, the fans fall further behind the appetite with every kilogram added — until somewhere up the scale the animal simply cannot be fed.

Can the fans keep up with the body?

Oxygen demand climbs as mass^0.75. A breathing surface that merely grew in proportion would climb as mass^0.67 — so the bigger the animal, the further behind its fans fall.

Break-even: supply exactly meets demandFans run out here0.5×11004000Body mass (kg)Oxygen supplied ÷ oxygen needed

The dashed line is the same animal in the same air, ventilating the other way.

Supply against demand0.88×
Demand has outrun the surface — this body cannot be fed
Heaviest body supported72 kg
where the margin falls to break-even
Surface must grow as mass^0.689
the exponent that would exactly feed this body
Spent moving air17%
paid out of the same oxygen budget, every breath
Effective barrier1.09×
still air pools against the membrane and thickens the crossing
350 kg
0.67

At 0.67 the fans simply grow in proportion to the body — the geometric default, and a losing one. Real respiratory surfaces fold faster than that; the question is how much faster they must.

The exponents are physiology; the vertical scale is not. No measured metabolic rate or body mass exists for any Pandoran animal, so the whole plot is pegged to one reference body — a 350 kg tidal breather in Earth air, surface merely keeping pace, set at exactly break-even. Every other reading is a comparison against that, not a measurement.

Demand has outrun the surface. Notice which lever is not available: Pandora's air is thick but its oxygen pressure is barely Earth's, so switching atmospheres hardly moves this. What the thick air does do is make every reversal expensive — so stop reversing.
Where the flank fans stop being elegant and start being necessary. Two exponents are racing: appetite climbs as mass^0.75, while a breathing surface that merely keeps pace with the body climbs as mass^0.67 — so every kilogram added widens a gap that cannot be closed by trying harder. Watch what the levers do. Swapping Earth's air for Pandora's barely helps, because at nine-tenths of an atmosphere Pandora's thick air holds no more oxygen pressure than ours; the density is all cost and no gift. What does help is refusing to pay that cost — flip to one-way flow and the ceiling on supportable body mass jumps by more than an order of magnitude, with nothing about the exchange tissue changed at all. Only the direction of the air changed.

The exception that breathes through its face

And now the Na'vi, who once again refuse to follow. They have no breathing fans. They take their air the way we do, through nose and mouth, into a tidal lung that fills and empties through one door — the ordinary, slightly wasteful design that the rest of Pandora's large animals seem to have left behind. This is the same shape of mystery we met in their limbs. Almost every big animal on Pandora is built on six limbs; the Na'vi have four. Almost every big animal breathes through one-way flank fans; the Na'vi breathe tidally through the face. The cleverest lineage on the moon is, in both its frame and its lungs, the conspicuous holdout.

It is worth saying that the tidal lung is not a failure. It is the design that you and every mammal carry, and it has done very well for us. It is simply the less extreme answer, the one an animal can afford when it is not trying to power vertical flight on a heavy planet. If the Na'vi do not need the banshee's furnace, they do not need the banshee's lung — and Fick's law, which forces the high-demand animals toward one-way flow, lets the moderate ones breathe in the ordinary, comfortable way.

Where the story still cheats

I have built a clean reading, and honesty requires me to point at the places where it is thinner than I would like. The micro-architecture of the exchange surface inside a Pandoran lung is completely unknown — whether it is a dead-end sac like ours, a mesh of fine air-pipes like a bird's, or something with no Earth counterpart at all. The one-way reading predicts the bird-like mesh, but predicts is the operative word; nobody has seen the tissue. There is a popular claim, repeated in fan accounts, that Pandoran lungs contain an organ that chemically converts carbon dioxide into oxygen on the spot, which would be a tidy way to survive the toxic air — but it is not canon, and as chemistry it is a great deal harder than it sounds, since pulling oxygen out of carbon dioxide costs energy rather than yielding it. I mention it only to set it aside. And the sea makes trouble for any neat single story: the marine animals of Pandora include creatures that seem to carry true gills and breathe air through nostrils, a bimodal arrangement that the flank-fan picture does not obviously cover. The breathing fan is a land-and-air solution. The water seems to be doing something else, and that something else is, for now, an open file.

Canon 14%Inference 30%Speculation 16%Real-world science 40%

The payoff is on Earth, and it is already breathing

Strip Pandora away and what remains in your hands is a genuinely useful skill, the one this chapter was really teaching under cover of banshees. You can now look at a breathing organ you have never seen before — on this planet or any other — and reason your way toward what it must be doing, using nothing but a single equation and the short menu of answers that equation permits. More surface, thinner wall, steeper slope. Keep the slope from closing. Match the design to the demand. Those rules are not Pandoran. They are why a goose can outfly a mountain that would lay a deer in the snow, why a tuna must swim to breathe, why no insect today can grow to the size its Carboniferous ancestors reached. They are why your own chest, right now, is wasting a little air on every breath in a way a bird never would.

The deepest lesson is the convergence: that physics is so stingy with good answers that life keeps arriving at the same few, independently, across oceans and continents and — if Pandora is read correctly — across the gulf between stars. A one-way lung in a bird, in an alligator, in a monitor lizard, and, very probably, in the great flying animals of another world entirely, is not a coincidence and not a borrowing. It is what happens when the same cruel equation is handed to life over and over and life, having no choice, keeps finding the one door that physics left open. The breathing fans of Pandora are strange only until you know the rule. After that, they are exactly what you would expect.

What stays open

  • Unknown. The one-way reading predicts a bird-like mesh of fine air-pipes rather than mammalian dead-end sacs, but no canonical source describes the tissue, so the prediction is untested.

  • Canon establishes the air is toxic to humans but not how native lungs cope. A chemical organ that converts carbon dioxide to oxygen is a popular fan claim, but it is not canon and is energetically very hard; the honest answer is that the blood and tissue chemistry remains unexplained.

  • Apparently not. Some sea creatures seem to carry both gills and air-breathing nostrils, a bimodal arrangement the flank-fan picture does not cover. Whether the breathing fan is purely a land-and-air organ is unresolved.

Related materials

Related chapters

Sources

  1. CanonOperculum - James Cameron's Avatar Wiki
  2. CanonPandoran Fauna - James Cameron's Avatar Wiki
  3. ScienceUnidirectional Airflow in the Lungs of Alligators (Farmer & Sanders, Science 2010)
  4. ScienceUnidirectional pulmonary airflow patterns in the savannah monitor lizard (Nature 2014)
  5. ScienceStructure and function of the avian respiratory system (PMC)
  6. ScienceIncrease in tracheal investment with beetle size supports oxygen limitation on insect gigantism (PNAS 2007)

Content classification

Canon 14%Inference 30%Speculation 16%Real-world science 40%